Sunday, May 17, 2015

Unit 7 - Purchasing Power Parity & Absolute Advantage v. Comparative Advantage

April 27, 2015

When the currency rate are set by international markets, changes will be based on the actual purchasing power of the currency.

Why do we exchange Currency?
  • To sell exports & buy imports
  • To invest in another countries stock and bonds
  • To build factories or stocks in other countries
  • To speculate on currency value
  • To hold currencies in bank accounts, for future exports, imports, and business loans.
  • To control excessive imbalances, FED control imbalances via the method of payments.

April 29, 2015

Absolute Advantage
  • Individual - Exists when a person can produce more of a certain good/service than someone else in the same amount of time.
  • National - Exists when a country can produce more of a good/service than the other country in the same amount of time period.

Comparative Advantage
  • Individual/National - when an individual or nation can produce a good/service at a lower opportunity cost than can another individual or nation.
Input problems - This is where the country or individual can produce a set amount of something by using the least amount of resources, land, or time has the absolute advantage.

Chosen item
Forgone item

Output problem - looking at production, who can produce the best (the lowest opportunity cost)

What is given up
What is produced

Unit 7 - FOREX

April 15, 2015

Foreign Exchange (FOREX): The buying and selling of currency.

The exchange rate (e) is determined in the foreign currency market. (The exchange rate is the price of a currency)

Tips
  • Always change the D line on the one currency graph, the S line in the other currency graph
  • Moves lines of two currency graphs in the same direction and you will have the correct answer.
  • If D on one graph moves up then so will the S on the other graph. And same if D on one graph moves left then S on the other graph will also move left.
Exchange rates are a function of the supply and demand for currency.
  • Increasing of supply in a currency will make it cheaper to buy one unit of that currency.
  • Decreasing in supply of a currency will make it more expensive to buy one unit of that currency.
  • Increase in demand for a currency will make it more expensive to buy one unit of that currency.
  • Decrease in demand for a currency will make it more cheaper to buy one unit of that currency.
Appreciation: Appreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate of that currency increases

Depreciation: Depreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate of that currency decreases.

Exchange rate determinants
  • Consumer taste
  • Relative income
  • Relative price level

Unit 7 - Balance of Payments

April 9, and April 13, 2015

Measure of $ inflows and outflows between the U.S and the rest of the world.
  • Inflows are referred to as credits
  • Outflows are referred to as debits
Balance of payments are divided into three accounts
  • Current account
  • Capital/Financial account
  • Official reserves account
Double entry book keeping: Every entry in the balance of payments is recorded twice in accordance with standard accounting practice.

Current Account: Balance of trade or net exports
  •  Balance of trade or net exports: Exports of goods and services - imports of goods and services - exports create a credit to the balance of payments - imports (Create Debt)
  • Net foreign income: Income earned by U.S owned foreign assets - income paid to foreign held U.S assets.
  • Net transfers: Foreign aid > Debit to the foreign account

Capital/Financial Account: The balance of capital ownership includes the purchase of both real and financial assets. Direct investments in the U.S is a credit to the capital account. Purchase of foreign financial assets represent debit to the capital account.

(relationship between current and capital account: Current and capital account should zero each other)

Official Reserves: The foreign current holdings of the U.S federal reserves system.

Active Vs. Passive: U.S is passive in its use of official reserves, doesn't seek to manipulate the dollar exchange rate.

Unit 5 & 6 - The LRPC & Supply side economics

April 6, 2015

Since the LRPC exists at the NRU structural changes in the economy that affect unemployment (Un) will also cause the LRPC to shift.
  • Increase in Un will shift LRPC > 
  • Decrease in Un will shift LRPC <
Supply side economics - It is the belief that the AS curve will determine levels of inflation, unemployment, economic growth. To increase economy shift AS curve to the right. Supply side economics focus on the (marginal tax rate) : The amount paid on the last dollar earned or on each additional dollar earned. They believe that lower taxis is an incentive for business to invest in the economy, also believe that lower taxes is an incentive for workers to work hard, thereby becoming more productive. Also that lower taxes incentive for people to increase savings, and therefor create lower interest rates, which causes and increase in business investment.

  • Support policies that promote GDP growth by arguing that high marginal tax rates, along with the current system of transfer payment such as, unemployment compensation and welfare provide disincentives to work, invest, innovate, and under take entrepreneurship ventures. 
Reagan economics
  • Lowered the marginal tax rate to get the U.S out of a recession. (Deficit) 
The Laffer Curve: Is a trade of between tax rate and government revenue used to support the supply side argument. As tax rate increase from 0% tax revenue increase to a maximum level then decline.
Criticism
  • Research suggest that tax rate on incentives to work save and incest small.
  • tax cuts also increase demand, which can fuel inflation, thus creating a situation were demand excessed supply.
  • Were the economy is actually on the curve is difficult to determine.

Unit 5 & 6 - Phillip's Curve

April 2, 2015
Phillips Curve: Represents the ralationship between unemployment and inflation.

LRPC: Occurs at the NRU (seasonal, frictional, 4-5%) Represented by a vertical line. There is no trade of between unemployment and inflation. Economy produces at the full employment level (will only shift if the LRAS curve shift). LRpC major asumption is that more woker benefit creeate higher natural rates, and fewer worker benefit create lower natural rates.

SRPC:  There is a trade off between inflation and unemployment (only occur in SR) Inverse relationship. High Inflation = Low unemployment, Lower Inflation = High Unemployment
The SRPC relevance to Oakum's law. Since Wage are sticky, inflation changes more the points in the SRPC.

  • If inflation persist and the expected rate of inflation rises, then the entire SRPC moves upward, which causes stagflation.
  • If inflation expectation drops due to new tech or economic growth, then the SRPC moves downward.
AS (shots - Rapid and significant increase in resource cost) Cause the rate of inflation and rate of unemployment to increase. The misery index is a combo of inflation and unemployment  in any given year. Single digit misery is good. 

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Unit 4 - Loanable Fund Market

March 23, 2015
Loanable Funds Market 
  • The market where savers and borrowers exchange funds (QLF) at the real rate of interest (r%)
  • The demand for loanable funds, or borrowing comes from households, firms, government and the foreign sector. The demand for loanable funds is in fact the supply of bonds.
  • The supply of loanable funds, or savings comes from households, firms, government and the foreign sector. The supply of loanable funds is also the demand for bonds
Change in the demand for loanable fund
  • Demand for loanable funds = Borrowing
  • More borrowings = More demand for loanable funds (>)
  • Less borrowing = Less demand for loanable funds (<)
Change in the supply of loanable funds
  • Supply of loanable funds = Savings
  • More Saving = More supply of loanable funds (>)
  • Less saving = Less supply of loanable funds (<)
    • Decrease in consumers MPS = Less saving = Less supply of loanable funds
When government does fiscal policy it will affect the loanable funds market.
Change in the real interest rate will affect gross private investment



Unit 4 - Monetary Policy

March 19, 2015
Tools of monetary policy
  • Open Market Operation (OMO)
  • Discount Rate
  • Reserver Requirement
Fiscal policy
  • Congress & President
  • Tax and spending
Monetary policy
  • The Fed (Federal Reserve Bank)
  • OMO
  • Discount Rate
  • Federal Fund Rate
  • Reserve Requirement
Discount rate: It is the interest rate that the fed charge commercial banks for borrowing money.

Federal Fund Rate: Interest rate that commercial banks charge one another for a over night loan.

Prime rate: Interest rate that banks charge their most credit worthy customers.

Unit 4 - Banks

March 17, 2015
Key principles
  • A single bank can create money (through loans) by the amount of excess reserves.
  • The banking system as a whole can create money by a multiple (deposition money multiplier) of the initial reserves.
Initial deposit
New or existing money
Bank reserves
Immediate change in MS
Cash- money is created in the banking system only
Existing $
Increases
No; but composition of money charges. Cash to currency.
FED purchase of a bond from the public
New
Increases
Yes; money coming from the Fed puts new dollars in circulation
Bank purchase of a bond from public
New
Increase
Yes; money is coming from reserves which puts new money in circulation.

Factors that weaken the effectiveness of the deposit multiplier
  • If banks fail to loan out all of their ER.
  • If banks customers take loans in cash, rather than in new checking account deposits it creates a cash or currency drain.
The Money Market (Supply & Demand)
  • Demand of money has an inverse relationship between nominal interest rates and the quantity of money demanded.

Unit 4 - Creating a Bank

March 6, 2015
Transaction 
  • Depositing reserves in a federal reserve bank
    • Required Reservers
    • Reserver Ratio (Commercial Bank's)
  • Excess Reserves
    • (Actual Reserves - Required Reserves)
  • Required Reserves
    • (Checkable deposits x Reserve Ratio)
How Banks Work
  • Assets
    • Reserves: Required Reserves (RR) %. Required by Fed to keep on hand to meet demand.
    • Excess Reserve (ER) %. Reserves over and above the amount needed to satisfy the minimum reserve ratio set by Fed.
    • Loans to firms, consumers, and other banks (earn interest)
    • Loans to government = Treasury securities
    • Bank property (if bank fails, you could liquidate the building/property)
  • Liabilities (equity)
    • Demand deposits ($ put into bank)
    • Timed deposits (CD's)
    • Loans from federal reserve & other banks
    • Shareholders equity: To set up a bank you must invest your own money in it, to make a stake in the banks success or failure)


Saturday, March 28, 2015

Unit 4 - Bonds

March 4, 2015
Bonds: Loans or IOU's that represent debt that the government or corporation must repay to a investor (Are low risk investment)

3 components

  • Coupon Rate: The interest rate that a bond issuer will pay to a bond holder.
  • Maturity: The time at with payment to a bond holder is due.
  • Par value: The amount that an investor pays to purchase a bond and that will be paid back to the investor at maturity.
Time value of money
  • Is a dollar today worth more than a dollar tomorrow?
    • Yes, because opportunity cost & inflation
    • This is the reason for charging & paying interest
  • Interest Formula (Simple Formula  v=((1+r)^n )P) (Compound Formula  v=((1+r)^nk )P) 
    • P= Present value of $
    • r= real interest rate
    • n= years
    • k= number of times interest is credited per year
7 Functions of Fed
  • Issue paper currency
  • Sets reserver requirements and hold reservers of banks
  • Lends money to banks and chargers them interest
  • They are check clearing service for banks
  • It acts a personal bank for the government
  • Supervises member banks
  • Controls the money supply in the economy
Types of multiple deposit expansion
  • Type 1: Calculate the initial change in excess reserves
  • Type 2: Calculate the change in loans in the banking system
  • Type 3: Calculate the change in the money supply
  • Type 4: Calculate the change in demand deposits

Unit 4 - Money

March 3, 2015

Money is any assets that can be used to purchase any goods or services.

3 uses of money
  • Mediate of exchange: Determining value
  • Unit of account: Comparing cost 
  • Store of value: How money can be keep
3 types pf money
  • Commodity money: Money that has value of it self (Salt, Olive oil, Gold)
  • Representative money: Represents something of value (IOU)
  • Fiat money: It is money because government say so (paper currency, Coins)
6 characteristics of money
  • Durability
  • Portability
  • Divisibility
  • Uniformity
  • Limitless supply
  • Acceptability 
Money supply: All the money available in the US economy made out of
  • M1 money: Liquid assets (easily to convert to cash) Cash, Currency, Checkable or Demand Deposits, Travelers checks
  • M2 money: (not easily converted to cash) Saving accounts, Money market accounts
3 purposes of financial institution
  • Store money
  • Saving money
  • Loaning money (Credit cards, mortgages) 
4 ways to save money

  • Savings account
  • Checking account
  • Money market account
  • Certificate of deposits
Loans: Banks operate in a fractional reserver system
  • Keep a fraction in the bank and lend out the rest.
Interest rate
  • Principal: The amount of money borrowed
  • Interest: Price paid for the use of borrowed money
    • Simple interest: Paid on the principle
    • Compound interest: Paid on the principle + accumulated interest
5 types of financial institutions
  • Commercial banks
  • Savings and Loan institutions
  • Mutual Savings banks
  • Credit union
  • Fiance companies
Investment: Redirecting resources that we would consume now for future purposes
  • Financial assets: Claim on property & income of the borrower
  • Financial intermediates: Its an institution that channels funds from savers to borrowers
3 Purposes 
  • Share risk
  • Provide Information
  • Liquidity

Unit 4 - Money and Banking / Monetary Policy (Videos Summaries)

Video 1

  • In the first video the lady explains the three types of money.  These being; commodity money, representative money, and fiscal money.  Further on she expounds on the functions of money. Money can be a medium of exchange, store of value, and unit of account (worth).
Video 2
  • During the second video the lady makes clear the money market, with the different components that we must know.  Interest rate goes in the y-axis, and quantity of money in the x-axis. The supply of money is fixed by the Fed, thus does not vary according on interest rate.  If the interest rate are unstable aggregate demand cannot be predicted.
Video 3
  • The lady now goes into detail with what the Fed does to increase money supply (expansionary/easy money) and decrease money supply (contractionary/tight money). The Fed haas 3 options, they can maneuver to obtain their goal.  Change the requirer reserves, discount rate, or in OMO (Buy or sell bonds, Open Markets Operations). Reducing or increasing the requirer reserves and discount rate are incentives for the banks to react to the the change, and does not guarantee a change in the money supply.  Unlike the other two OMO put pressure to change to federal funds rate.
Video 4
  • In this next video the lady describes how the loanable fund market is labeled and how is it connected to the money market.  Identical to the money market the interest rate goes to the y-axis and quantity goes to the x-axis, but converted to loanable funds. The supply of loanable funds in this case is upward slopping depending on savings for banks to be able to loan out.  The demand for more increase demand of loans thus increasing the interest rate, but i can as well decrease the supply of loanable funds.
Video 5
  • During the course of this ride the lady explains how money is created through banks.  The key concepts is to know that money is created by making loans.  We use the money multiplier (1/RR) to know the maximum money supply created.  This is because of the multiple deposit system, as one deposits to a bank they take the money to make more loan and others as well take it and deposit it into another bank.  This is all in presumption that banks do not keep more that the require reservers.
Video 6
  • In the last video the lady puts in view how the money market, loanable funds market, and the AD & AS graph connect. As the demand of money increases or decreases in the money market the latest rate will change, this follows to the loanable funds market. Using the fisher effect saying how interest rate and price level are in equilibrium this changes the AD & AS graph.  In consequence alternating the GDP.

Sunday, March 1, 2015

Unit 3 - Fiscal Policy

February 25, 2015


Fiscal policy is the change in the expenditures or tax revenues of the federal government. Two tools of fiscal policy are Taxes & Spending.
  • Deficits, Surpluses, & Debt
    • Balanced budget ( Revenues = Expenditure)
    • Deficit budget ( Revenues > Expenditures )
    • Surplus budget ( Revenues < Expenditures )
    • Government debt ( Sum of all deficits - sum of all surpluses)
  • Government must borrow money when it runs a budget deficit, from
    • Individuals
    • Corporations
    • Financial institutions
    • Foreign entities or foreign countries
Fiscal policy option
  • Discretionary fiscal policy (action)
    • Expansionary fiscal policy (Think deficit) Designed to increase aggregate demand. Strategy for increasing GDP, combatting a recession, and unemployment. Recession countered with Increase government spending, & decrease taxes.
    • Contractionary fiscal policy ( Think surplus) Designed to decrease aggregate demand. Strategy for controlling inflation, countered with increasing taxes, & decreasing government spending.
  • Non-Discretionary fiscal policy (No action)
Discretionary vs Automatic fiscal policies
  • Discretionary, increasing or decreasing government spending & lower taxes in order to return to economy to full employment. Involves policy makers doing fiscal policy in response to an economical problem.
  • Automatic unemployment compensation & marginal tax rates are examples of automatic policies, that help mitigate the effects of recession as well as inflation. They take place without policy makers having to respond to current economic problems. Anything that increase the government budget deficit during a recession & increase its budget surplus during inflation without requiring explicit action by policy markers.
Non-Discretionary fiscal policy (Automatic stabilizer)
  • Transfer payments
    • Welfare checks 
    • Food Stamps
    • Unemployment checks
    • Corporate dividend
    • Social security 
    • Veterans benefits
  • Progressive income taxes
Progressive tax system
  • Average tax rate (tax revenue / GDP ) rises with GDP
  • Proportional tax system
    • Average tax rate remains constant as GDP changes
Regressive tax system
  • Average tax rate falls with GDP

Unit 3 - Disposable Income

February 20, 2015


With disposable income (DI) theres 2 choices households have, either consume (spend money on goods & services) or save (not spending money)

DI is income after taxes or net income. DI = Gross income - Taxes

Consumption (household spending) The ability to consume is constrained by
  • The amount of DI
  • The propensity to save
Do households consume if DI=0
  • Autonomous consumption
  •  Dissaving
        APC= C/DI = %DI that is spent

Savings (household not spending) The ability to save is constrained by
  • The amount of DI
  • The propensity to consume

Do households save if DI = 0
  • No
       APS= S/DI = %DI that is not spent
APC & APS 
  • APC + APS = 1
  • 1- APC = APS
  • 1- APS = APC
  • APC > 1 therefore Dissaving
  • APS therefore Dissaving
MPC & MPS
  • Marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
    • ∆ C / ∆ DI
    • % of every extra dollar earned that is spent
  • Marginal propensity to save (MPS)
    • ∆ S / ∆ DI
    • % of every dollar earned that is saved
  • MPC + MPS = 1
  • 1 - MPC = MPS
  • 1 - MPS = MPC
The spending multiplier effect 
  • An initial change in spending (C, Ig, G, Xn) causes a large change in aggregate spending or aggregate demand
  • Multiplier = ∆ in AD / ∆ in spending
  • Why does this happen? Expenditures and income flow continuously which sets of a spending increase in the economy.
The spending multiplier
  • Can be calculated from the MPC or MPS
  • Multiplier = 1 / 1 - MPC or 1 / MPS
  • Positive when there is increase in spending Negative when there is a decrease
The tax multiplier
  • When government taxes, the multiplier works in reverse
  • Why? Because now money is leaving the circular flow 
  • Tax multiplier (Its negative) = - MPC / 1 - MPC  or - MPC / MPS
  • If there is a tax cut, then the multiplier is positive, because there is now more money in the circular flow.

Unit 3 - Three schools of economics

February 19, 2015


Three schools of economy ( Classical, Keynesian, Monetary)

Points of Classical school
  •  Investment (Injection)
  • AS determines output
  • Market works by it self (No government intervention)
  • Savings increase with interest rate
  • AS=AD at full employment equilibrium
  • In the LR the economy will balance at full employment (economy close to or at full employment)
  • Believe in the trickle down effect ( this is were you help the rich first and everyone else latter)
  • Prices and wages are flexible downward
Points of Keynesian school
  • Competition is flawed (AD is key not AS)
  • Demand creates its own supply
  • Savers and investors save for different reasons
  • Saving are inverse to interest rate
  • Leaks cost constant recessions and savings cause recessions
  • Ratchet effects and sticky wages block state law
  • Price/wages are inflexible downward
  • No mechanism capable of guaranteeing full employment
  • The economy is not close to or at full employment
  • Government intervention (expansionary & contractionary policies (Fiscal policy) 

Points of Monetary school
  • Fine tuning is needed, congress can't time the policy options (voters wont allow it)
  • Contractionary option
  • Easy and tight money 
  • Change the required reserves if needed
  • Buy & sell bonds in open market
  • Change in interest rate for the discount rate & federal fund rate

Unit 3 - Investment Demand Curve

February 18, 2015


The investment demand curve is downward sloping. This is because when interest rates are high, fewer investments are profitable; when interest rate are low, more investments are profitable.


Shifts in Investment Demand
  • Cost of production
    • Lower cost (Dig Shift >)
    • Higher cost (Dig Shift <)
  • Business Taxes
    • Lower business taxes (Dig Shift >)
    • Higher business taxes (Dig Shift <)
  • Technological ∆
    • New technology (Dig Shift >)
    • Lack of technological changes (Dig Shift <)
  • Stock of capital
    • If an economy is low on capital (Dig Shift >)
    • If an economy has much capital (Dig Shift <)
  • Expectations
    • Positive expectations (Dig Shift >)
    • Negative expectations (Dig Shift <)

Unit 3 - Full Employment / Interest rate $ Investment demands

February 17, 2015

Full employment equilibrium exists where AD intersects SRAS & LRAS at the same point.
Recessionary gap exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment output.
Inflationary gap exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output.
Investment rates and investment demand, investment is money spent or expenditures on:
  • New plants (factories)
  • Capital equipment (machinery)
  • Technology (hardware & software)
  • New homes
  • Inventories (goods sold by producers)
Expected rates of return
  • How does business make investment decisions? Cost/benefit analysis
  • How does business determine the benefits? Expected rate of return
  • How does business count cost? Interest cost
  • How does business determines the amount of investment they undertake? Compare expected rate of return to interest cost
  • If expected return > interest cost (then invest)
  • If expected return < interest cost (then don't invest)
Real vs Nominal interest rate
  • Nominal is the observable rate of interest i. Real subtracts out inflation (pie interest) and is only known ex post facto
  • To compute real interest rate: R% (real) = i% (nominal) - pie (compute)

Unit 3 - Aggregate supply

February 12, 2015


The aggregate supply curve depicts the quantity of real GDP that is supplied by the economy at different price levels.

Long Run vs Short Run
  • Long run: Period of time where input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes in the price level. In the long run the level of real GDP supplied is independent of the price level.
  • Short run: Period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to changes in the price level. In the short run the level of real GDP supplied is directly related to the price level.
Long Rund Aggregate Supply (LRAS): Marks the level of full employment in the economy (analogous to PPC) because input prices are completely flexible in the long run, changes in price level do not change firm's real profits and therefore do not change firms level of output. Meaning that LRAS is vertical at the economy's level of full employment.
Short Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS) Because input prices are sticky in the short-run, the SRAS is upward sloping.
An increase in SRAS is seen as a shift to the right. A decrease in SRAS is seen as a shift to the left
The key to understanding shift in SRAS is per unit cost if production
Per unit production cost= total input cost/total output


Determinant of SRAS
  • Input prices 
  • Domestic resource prices 
  • Wages (75% of all business cost)
  • Cost of capital
  • Raw materials (commodity prices)
Foreign resource prices
  • Strong $ = lower foreign resource prices
  • Weak $ = higher foreign resource prices

Market power-monopolies and cartels that control rss control the price if those rss

  • Increase In resource prices (AS Shift <)
  • Decreases In resource prices (AS Shift >)

Productivity
  • productivity = total output/ total inputs
  • More productivity= lower unit production cost (AS Shift >)
  • Lower productivity = higher unit production cost (AS Shift <)
Legal institutions environment (Taxes and subsides)
  • taxes ($ to government) on business increase per unit production cost (AS Shift <)
  • subsidies ($ from government) to business reduce pet unit production cost (AS Shift >)
Government regulation
  • Government regulation created a cost of compliance (AS Shift <)
  • Government deregulation reduces compliance costs (AS Shift >)

Saturday, February 28, 2015

Unit 3 - Aggregate Demand

February 11, 2015


The aggregate demand shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public and foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level. The relationship between the price level and the level of real GDP is inverse.
Three reasons AD is downward sloping
  • Real-Balance effect: When the price level is high households and businesses cannot afford to purchase as much output. When the price level is low households and businesses can afford to purchase more output
  • Interest-Rate effect: A higher price level increase the interest rate which tends to discourage investment. A lower price level decreases the interest rate which tends to encourage investment.
  • Foreign purchases effect: The higher the price level, an increase in demand for relatively cheaper imports.
Shifts in AD
  • Two parts to a shift in AD
    • A ∆ in C, Ig, G, and/or Xn
    • A multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original ∆ in the 4 components.
  • Increase in AD = AD >
  • Decrease in AD = AD <
Consumption
  • Households spending
    • Consumer Wealth: More spending (AD Shifts >)
    • Less wealth: Less spending (AD Shifts <)
  • Consumer expectations
    • Positive Expectations: More spending (AD Shift >)
    • Negative Expectations: Less spending (AD Shift <)
  • Household indebtedness
    • Less debt: More spending (AD Shift >)
    • More debt: Less spending (AD Shift <)
  • Taxes
    • Less taxes: More spending (AD Shift >)
    • More taxes: Less spending (AD Shift <)
Gross private investment
  • Te real interest rate
    • Lower real interest rate: More investment (AD Shift >)
    • Higher real interest rate: Less investment (AD Shift <)
  • Expected returns
    • Higher expected returns: More investment (AD Shift >)
    • Lower expected returns: Less investment (AD Shift <)
Government spending
  • More government spending (AD Shift >)
  • Less government spending (AS Shift <)
Net exports
  • Exchange rates (International value of $)
    • Strong $ : More Imports and fewer exports (AD Shift <)
    • Weak $ : Fewer imports and more exports ( AD Shift >
  • Relative income
    • Strong Foreign Economies: More exports (AD Shift >)
    • Weak Foreign Economies: Less exports (AD Shift <)

Sunday, February 8, 2015

Unit 2 - Unemployment

February 3, 2015

Unemployment: Is the percentage of people who do not have a job but are part of the labor force.

Labor force: The number of people in a country that are classified as employed or unemployed.
Unemployment rate = Number of unemployed / Number of unemployed + Number of Employed  X
100

Not in the labor force: Are kids, retired people, military personal, mentally insane, the incarcerated, full time students, stay at home parents, discourage workers.

Forms of Unemployment:

  • Voluntary- Between jobs, new opportunities, new choices, new lifestyle, educational level.
  • Seasonal- People wait for the right moment to conduct their trade. Ex: School Bus Driver, construction workers.
  • Cyclical - Down turn in the business cycle, recession, down price.
  • Structural- Associated with lack of skills, decline in industry, change in technology.


Full Employment when there is not cyclical unemployment present in the economy. Natural rate of unemployment (NRU) achieved when labor markets are in balanced 4-5%  
NRU = Structural UNP + Frictional UNP

Unemployment is good, because its less pressure to raise wages, more workers available in future expansions.

Unemployment is bad because, there is not enough consumption (GDP). There is too much poverty, too much government is needed

Okun's law - For every 1 % unemployed above NRU causes a 2 % decline in real GDP

Unit 2 - Inflation

February 2, 2015
Inflation: A rise in general level of prices. The inflation Standard 2% - 3%

Inflation Rate: Mesures percent increase. Key indicator of Economies Strength.

Deflation: Decline in general price level

Disinflation: Occurs when inflation rate declines

CPI: "Consumer Price Index" mesures inflation by tracking the yearly price of consumer goods and services. Indicates changes in price levels and price of living.

Formulas:

  • Finding Inflation Rate Using market base data.                                                                                   Current  Year Market Basket value - Base Year Market value   X 100                                         Base Year Market value
  • Finding Inflation  rate using price index                                                                                         Current year price index - Base year price index    X 100                                                                    Base year price index
  • Estimating Inflation Using Rule of 70. Used to calculate the number of years it would take for the price level to double at any given rate of inflation.                                                                            Years Needed to double inflation = 70 / Annual inflation rate
  • Determining real wages                                                                                                                        Real Wages = Nominal wages / Price level   X 100
  • Finding real Interest rate                                                                                                                 Real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - inflation premium 
    • Cost of borrowing/lending money that's adjusted for expected inflation; expressed as percentage.
  • Cause of inflation: 
    • "Demand-pull inflation" Cost by excess of demand over output that pulls prices upward.
    • "Cost-push inflation" Cause by a rise in per unit production rise due to increase resource cost
  • Effect of inflation: Hurt people with fixed income, savers, lenders/creditors. Helps borrowers "return with dollars with less power), fixed contracts.
    • Anticipated: People are told that they will get laid off ( Get a new job or spend less money)
    • Unanticipated: People told its their last day in the job.


Unit 2 - Nominal/Real GDP

January 29, 2015

Nominal GDP: Value of Output produced in current prices   P x Q    In can increase from year to year. If either output or prices increases.

Real GDP: value of Output produced in constant or based year prices.. Adjusted for inflation   P x Q
Can increase from year to year only if output increases. "Current Production x Based Price"

Price Index: Mesures inflation by tracking changes in the price of market basket of goods compared to the base year.  Formula:      Price of Market basket of good in currents   X 100
                                                 Price of Market basket of good in base up

GDP: Its also a price index used to adjust from nominal GDP to real GDP.

  •  In the base year the GDP Deflator will equal 100
  • Years after base year the GDP Deflator will be greater than 100
  • Years before tge base year the GDP Deflator will be less than 100
Formula:    Nominal GDP   X 100
                   Real GDP

Inflation Rate: Formula    New GDP Deflator - Old GDP Deflator    X 100
                                                     Old GDP Deflator

Unit 2 - Expenditure/Income approach

January 28, 2015

Expenditure Approach:  C + Ig + G + Xn = GDP 
  • Add up the market value of all the domestic expenditures made on final goods and services in a single year.
Income Approach: W + R + I + P + Statistical Adjustments
  • Add up all the income earn by households and firms in  a single year.
    • W - Wages
    • R - Rents
    • I - Interest
    • P- Profits (Proprietor's income)
Formulas

Budget: Government Purchases of goods and services + Government Transfer Payments - Government tax and Fee collection. If the number is positive its Budget Deficit, If the number its negative its a Budget Surplus.

Trade: Exports - Imports

GNP: GDP + Net Foreign Factor Payment 

NNP: "Net National Product"  GNP - Depreciation

NDP: "Net Domestic Product"   GDP - Depreciation

National Income: "There is 2 formulas"   GDP - Indirect Business Taxes - Depreciation - Net Foreign Factor Payment           Compensation Of Employees + Proprietors Income + Rental Income + Interest Income + Corpus Profits

Disposable Personal Income: National Income - Personal Household Taxes + Government transfer payments




Unit 2 - GDP

January 27, 2015

GDP: Gross Domestic Product total money value of all final goods and services produced within a countries borders within a year.
GNP: Gross National Product total value of all final goods and services produced by Americans in a year.

GDP:  Whats Included  C + Ig + G + Xn

  • C - "Consumption" its the 67% to the economy, purchasing finished goods and services.
  • Ig - "Gross Private Domestic Investment"
    • Factory Equipment maintenances
    • New factory equipment
    • New construction Housing
    • Unsold Inventory of Products build in a year.
  • G - "Government Spending"
  • Xn - "Net Exports  
    • Formula    Exports - Imports
Whats Excluded in the GDP

  • Used or Second Hand Goods
  • Intermediate goods is the goods or services purchase to resale or further processing or manufacturing. This is excluded to avoid multiple or double counting.
  • Non Market Activity
    • Illegal drugs
    • Any unpaid work
    • Prostitution
    • Baby Sitting
    • Growing own food for personal consumption
    • Fixing your own things
  • Financial Transactions
    • Bonds
    • Stock
    • Real-estate
  • Gift or Transfer Payments
    • Private: Produces no output transfer fund from one private individual to another.                         Ex- Scholarships
    • Public: Various contribute nothing to the current output or production.                               Ex: Welfare, Social Security 

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Business Cycle

January 20, 2015

Expansionary: Real output in the economy increasing and underemployment rate declining.The population is able to buy more.

Peak: Real GDP is at it highest.

Contraction (Recession): Real output in a economy its decreasing and underemployment its rising. Inflation rate are rising.

Trough: It the lowest point of real GDP, means the end of a recession. 

Equilibrium

January 16, 2015

Equilibrium: Point in which the supply and demand curve intercept. "All resources are being used efficiently"

  • Shortage  QD > QS     Quantity Demanded > Quantity Supply
  • Surplus  QS > QD     Quantity Supply < Quantity Demanded
Terms :
  • Price Floor is a government imposed price limit on how low a price can be changed for a product 

  • Price Ceiling is a government imposed limit on how high a price can be charged for a product.

  • Fixed Cost is a cost that does not change no matter how many are produced.

  • Variable cost is a cost that changes.

  • Marginal Cost is a cost of producing one more unit of goods.

  • Marginal Revenue is the additional income from selling one more until of a good.

Formulas
  • Total Cost: Total Fixed Cost + Total Variable Cost  &  Average Total Cost / Quantity
  • Average Fixed Cost: Total Fixed Cost / Quantity 
  • Average Variable Cost: Total Variable Cost / Quantity
  • Average Total Cost: Average Fixed Cost + Average Variable Cost  &  Average Variable Cost
  • Marginal Cost: New Total Cost - Old Total Cost 
  • Total Revenue: Price x Quantity 

Elasticity

January 14, 2015

Price Elasticity Demand: Tells how drastically buyers will cut back or increase their demand of a good when price rises or fall.
  • Elastic Demand: The demand that will change greatly if theres a change in price "many substitute" E > 1
  • Inelastic Demand: The demand for product will not change regardless of the price "few or no substitute" E < 1
  • Unit Elastic (Unitary Elastic): The price elasticity of demand is equal to 1. E = 1
Steps and Formulas to solve Elasticity Problems.

1. % Δ in quantity
                         New Quantity - Old Quantity
                                    Old Quantity

2. % Δ in price
                        New Price - Old Price
                                 Old Price

3. PED - Price Elastic of Demand
                        Δ in quantity
                         Δ in price

Demand and Supply

January 12, 2015

Demand: Is the quantity that people are willing to buy at various prices.
  • The law of demand- There's an invers relationship between price and quantity demanded. 
  • The causes of a change in quantity demanded- *Change is represented by a Delta Δ*
    • A Δ in buyers taste "Advertising"
    • A Δ in number of buyers "Population"
    • A Δ in income 
      • Normal goods that buyers buy more of when income rises. 
      • Inferior goods that buyers buy less when income rises.
    • A Δ in price on relative goods. 1. Substitute good that server roughly the same purpose to buyers.  2. Complementary goods often consume together.
    • A Δ  in expectation
Supply: Quantity that seller are willing  and able to produce various quantities.
  • The law of supply- Theres a direct relationship between price and quantity supply.
  • The causes of a change in quantity supply- *Change is represented by a Delta Δ*
    • A Δ in weather
    • A Δ in technology
    • A Δ in cost of production
    • A Δ in number of sellers
    • A Δ in taxes 
    • A Δ in expectation

Production possibility frontier

January 8, 2015

1. Scarcity vs. Shortage

  • Scarcity- Is the most fundamental economic problem that all societies face, trying to to satisfy unlimited wants with limited resources. Its a permanent problem.
  • Shortage- Is the quantity demanded greater than quantity supply. Its a temporary problem.
2. Goods vs. Services
  • Goods is a material that satisfies human wants and provides utility. There are consumer goods and capital items.
    • Consumer goods that are intended for final use by the consumer.
    • Capital items used in the creation for other goods.
  • Services is work perform for someone else.
3. Factors of Production
  • Land: Natural resources.
  • Labor: The work force.
  • Capital: Human & Physical
    • Human knowledge/skill gain through education and experience.
    • Physical Human made object to create other goods and services.
  • Entrepreneurship: Is is the process of starting a business or other organization, innovation people can take risk.
4. Production possibility frontier A production possibility graph shows how a good can be produced more than the other, having an inverse relationship to each other.
  • Trade-offs alternative that we give up when we chose one course of action over another.
  • Opportunity cost is the most desired alternative given up by making a decision.
  • Guns and Butter model is the classic example of the production possibility frontie.
  • Production possibility graph.
    •  If point is in the production possibility curve it's efficient and attainable
    •  If point is inside the curve it's attainable but inefficient. Causes can be recession, war/famine, underemployment, drop in population.
    • If point it's outside the curve it's unattainable. Causes can be economic growth, new technology, discover new resources.